The Office for National Statistics ( ONS ) has declared its national figures for the trans population depicted in the 2021 census to be” confident” after an investigation, but it acknowledges that some people with less English proficiency may not have “interpreted the question as intended.”
Following the inclusion of deliberate issues on sex and sexuality in the 2021 population, the Statistics released first-of-its-kind statistics on the number of LGBTQ+ people in England and Wales in January.
According to the statistics, about 1.5 million people ( 3.2 % ) identified as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or another sexual orientation, and 262, 000 people ( 5.5 % ) said their gender identity was different from the sex they were given at birth.
When it was discovered that some regions with sizable ethnic minority groups, where many people speak English as a second language, had fewer trans people than the analysts had anticipated, questions about the numbers were raised.
However, advocacy groups thought the numbers might be underreported because the gender identity question was voluntary and those who were n’t out might have been hesitant to fill it out on a formal document.
Following an examination of the trans figures and strategy, the ONS published a quantitative bulletin on Wednesday, November 8, stating that while some census results “may be surprising, this does not necessarily mean they are wrong.”
We have confidence in our gender identity estimates at a national level, but there are some patterns in the data that are consistent with — but do not conclusively demonstrate – some respondents not [having ] interpreted the question as intended, for example, people with lower English language skills in some areas, according to Jen Woolford, the ONS’s director of population statistics.
According to established communities, some local government may draw transgender people, and sudden patterns may arise from correlations between variables, such as younger years profiles in some ethnic groups.
Kemi Badenoch, the chancellor of women and equality, informed the House of Commons in October that she had ordered an investigation into whether the quantity of trans people in England and Wales had been “overestimated” as a result of people’s ignorance of the gender identity issue.
People frequently do n’t understand what we mean when we use terms like” transgender” [and ]” gender identity, so we need to make sure they understand that, she said.
This came after the Office for Statistical Regulation ( OSR ) earlier that month published an interim review of gender identity statistics.
The authors of the review acknowledged that it is difficult to measure gender identity and that the tiny trans people presents difficulties for data collection.
The Statistics had consulted partners who use the information, according to Woolford’s speech, and these organizations “recognize that there will be greater levels of uncertainty in our sex identity figures.”
We have also released additional information to assist them in interpreting the data at a precise levels, she continued.
” We have made it clear that these should n’t be used to produce different trans population estimates.”
It is impossible to “quantify any possible under or estimate among these organizations” because some transgender people are “likely to be among those who chose not to respond to this deliberate problem,” according to Woolford.
Any assumptions about how the transgender people varies across various population sub-groups were based on scant data, which is exactly the evidence gap that the census’s inclusion of this question was meant to replace.
As part of our program to create people and migration data based on our most recent public conversation, we may continue to develop these statistics.
The ONS’s results were released a few days after data on the prevalence of pansexuals in England and Wales was updated.
According to a quantitative report published on Wednesday, November 1, some responses to the sexual orientation issue that were supposed to be coded as” all othersexual orientations” were rather labeled “pansexual.”
The estimated number of transgender people decreased from 112, 400 to 48, 000 as a result of the upgrade.
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